Toll Brothers Valuation

TOL Stock  USD 150.48  4.02  2.74%   
At this time, the company appears to be fairly valued. Toll Brothers has a current Real Value of $153.31 per share. The regular price of the company is $150.48. Our model measures the value of Toll Brothers from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.18 %, return on equity of 0.17, and Shares Outstanding of 94.75 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Toll Brothers' valuation include:
Price Book
1.7239
Enterprise Value
15.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.8286
Price Sales
1.3046
Forward PE
11.3379
Fairly Valued
Today
150.48
Please note that Toll Brothers' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Toll Brothers is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Toll Brothers' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Toll stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Toll Brothers. Since Toll Brothers is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Toll Stock. However, Toll Brothers' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  150.48 Real  153.31 Target  154.13 Hype  151.44 Naive  144.55
The intrinsic value of Toll Brothers' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Toll Brothers' stock price.
151.33
Downside
153.31
Real Value
155.29
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Toll Brothers helps investors to forecast how Toll stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Toll Brothers more accurately as focusing exclusively on Toll Brothers' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
2.402.863.10
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
149.46151.44153.42
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.630.640.65
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
140.26154.13171.09
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Toll Brothers' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Toll Brothers' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Toll Brothers' closest peers.

Toll Brothers Cash

730.36 Million

Toll Revenue by Product

Toll Brothers Total Value Analysis

Toll Brothers is at this time estimated to have company total value of 15.92 B with market capitalization of 14.31 B, debt of 2.92 B, and cash on hands of 1.26 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Toll Brothers fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
15.92 B
14.31 B
2.92 B
1.26 B

Toll Brothers Investor Information

About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Toll Brothers has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.22. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.49. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. Toll Brothers had 2:1 split on the 11th of July 2005. Based on the key indicators related to Toll Brothers' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Toll Brothers may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.120.18
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income2.1 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Toll Brothers Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Toll Brothers has an asset utilization ratio of 75.53 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.76 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Toll Brothers is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Toll Brothers Profitability Analysis

Based on Toll Brothers' profitability indicators, Toll Brothers may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Toll Brothers' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-10-31
Previous Quarter
369.6 M
Current Value
446.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
132.8 M
 
Black Monday
 
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Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is expected to rise to about 3.4 B this year, although the value of Pretax Profit Margin will most likely fall to 0.11.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.240.3
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.05660.11
Way Down
Very volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.120.18
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.110.19
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.06280.11
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.170.19
Moderately Down
Very volatile
For Toll Brothers profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Toll Brothers to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Toll Brothers utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Toll Brothers's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Toll Brothers over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Toll Brothers Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Toll Brothers' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Toll Brothers' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Toll Brothers is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Toll Brothers is projected to generate 2.8613 in earnings per share on the 30th of April 2026. Toll Brothers earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Toll Brothers EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Toll Brothers' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Toll Brothers, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Toll Brothers Ownership Allocation

Toll Brothers shows a total of 94.75 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Toll Brothers outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Toll Brothers to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Toll Brothers. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Toll Brothers as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Toll Brothers Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 10.97 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.35 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.85 B.

Toll Brothers Past Distributions to stockholders

About Toll Brothers Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toll Brothers. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Toll Brothers based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Toll Brothers's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Toll Brothers's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Toll Brothers. We calculate exposure to Toll Brothers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Toll Brothers's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.3 B3.4 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.19  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.18  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.11  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.24 

Toll Brothers Quarterly Retained Earnings

8.57 Billion

Toll Brothers' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Toll Brothers' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Toll Brothers can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Toll Brothers represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Toll, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Toll Brothers Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Toll Brothers' Dividend Yield is quite stable compared to the past year. Dividend Payout Ratio is expected to rise to 0.09 this year, although the value of Dividends Paid will most likely fall to about 83 M. . At this time, Toll Brothers' Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 11.98 this year, although the value of Retained Earnings Total Equity will most likely fall to about 4.4 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid87.4 M83 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.08  0.09 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 5.46  5.06 
There are various types of dividends Toll Brothers can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Toll shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Toll Brothers directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Toll pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Toll Brothers by the value of the dividends paid out.

Toll Brothers Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Toll Brothers does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.012
Forward Price Earnings11.3379

Toll Brothers Current Valuation Indicators

Toll Brothers' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Toll Brothers' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Toll Brothers, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Toll Brothers' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Toll Brothers' worth.
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Toll Brothers assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Dividend Share
0.98
Earnings Share
13.49
Revenue Per Share
110.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.027
Investors evaluate Toll Brothers using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Toll Brothers' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Toll Brothers' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Toll Brothers' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.